The answers to your questions will depend on the application your are performing. If you are
looking for where air near the surface came from you would start the trajectory at 10 meters. If
you are looking for where air contributing to acid rain came from, then you would choose a
height near or above the cloud base. Generally, we tend to choose 2 or 3 heights near the
height we are interested in to get a better idea of the wind shear, if any, aloft.
As to the length of the trajectory, the shorter the time, the better the accuracy. However, you
can feel fairly confident in the trajectory position out to 48 hours. Longer term trajectories are
best used in a statistical sense such as "trajectory clustering" to determine transport
regimes. We did a sensitivity study on trajectories by varying the spatial and temporal
resolution of the data and found using the NGM (which was available at the time; the
Eta/EDAS is better now) that the horizontal deviations are less than 200 km at 24 hours
and between 200 and 700km at 96 hours. (Journal of Applied Meteorology, October 1990,
Rolph and Draxler, pp1043-1054).
Glenn Rolph
NOAA ARL